Pot odds calculator
Enter the pot and the bet you face. You get the equity you need to call, how often you must defend, and how often their bet can be a bluff. Count your outs to see whether the draw gets there. Everything is worked out in your browser; nothing you type is sent anywhere.
Pot odds and bet sizes
The same figures for the common bet sizes. They depend only on the bet as a fraction of the pot, so they hold at any stake.
| Bet | Pot odds | Equity to call | MDF | Bluff must work |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ¼ pot | 5:1 | 16.7% | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| ⅓ pot | 4:1 | 20.0% | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| ½ pot | 3:1 | 25.0% | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| ⅔ pot | 2.5:1 | 28.6% | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| ¾ pot | 2.33:1 | 30.0% | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Pot | 2:1 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| 1.5× pot | 1.67:1 | 37.5% | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| 2× pot | 1.5:1 | 40.0% | 33.3% | 66.7% |
Outs and odds
The exact chance of hitting, from the 47 cards you can't see on the flop and the 46 on the turn, beside the rule of 2 and 4.
| Draw | Outs | Next card | Rule of 2 | Turn and river | Rule of 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gutshot | 4 | 8.5% | 8% | 16.5% | 16% |
| Two overcards | 6 | 12.8% | 12% | 24.1% | 24% |
| Open-ended straight draw | 8 | 17.0% | 16% | 31.5% | 32% |
| Flush draw | 9 | 19.1% | 18% | 35.0% | 36% |
| Flush draw + gutshot | 12 | 25.5% | 24% | 45.0% | 48% |
| Flush draw + open-ender | 15 | 31.9% | 30% | 54.1% | 60% |
"Next card" is the flop-to-turn chance (outs ÷ 47). On the turn it is slightly higher, outs ÷ 46: a flush draw is 19.6%.
How each figure is worked out
Write the pot before the bet as P and the bet as B.
Pot odds and the equity you need
Pot odds compare what you can win, P + B, with what it costs to call, B. A ½-pot bet into
100 is 150 to win for 50, or 3:1. As a percentage, the equity a call needs to break even is
B ÷ (P + 2B): what you put in, over the pot once you've called. For the ½-pot bet that is
50 ÷ 200 = 25%.
Minimum defence frequency (MDF)
MDF = P ÷ (P + B). If the defender folds more often than 1 − MDF, a bet with any two cards makes a
profit. Against ½ pot, defending 66.7% of the time stops that. MDF is a frequency for a whole range, not a
rule for one hand: it says how much of your range should continue, not whether this hand should.
How often a bluff must work
A pure bluff risks B to win P, so it breaks even when the opponent folds
B ÷ (P + B) of the time. It is 1 − MDF, seen from the bettor's side.
Bluffs in a balanced river bet
On the river, a polarised bet leaves the caller indifferent when its share of bluffs equals the equity the
caller needs: B ÷ (P + 2B). A pot-sized bet can be one-third bluffs, a ½-pot bet one-quarter.
Bigger bets can carry more bluffs because they give the caller a worse price.
Facing a raise
Tick "I bet and they raised". The pot is then the pot before anyone bet on this street, P; your bet
was H and they raised to R. You call R − H and the equity you need is
(R − H) ÷ (P + 2R). MDF becomes (P + H) ÷ (P + H + R).
Outs
With o outs, the next card hits o ÷ 47 of the time from the flop and
o ÷ 46 from the turn. Both cards from the flop hit at least once with chance
1 − (47 − o)(46 − o) ÷ (47 × 46). The rule of 2 (outs × 2 per card) is close but a little low.
The rule of 4 (outs × 4 for two cards) runs high from 8 outs up: at 15 outs it says 60% against a true 54.1%.
It also only applies when you see both cards for one price, which on the flop means you are all in.
Outs assume you know what wins. Against a range of hands, count it instead with the
equity calculator.
When pot odds are the wrong question
Pot odds count the money in the pot now. A call below the price can still be right when you win more on later streets after you hit (implied odds), and a call above the price can still lose when the hands you beat fold and the hands that beat you bet again (reverse implied odds). Your outs may also be fewer than they look: a flush card that pairs the board can give your opponent a full house. With money still behind and streets to come, pot odds are the minimum a call needs, not the whole answer.
Pot odds say what a call needs. megamaster shows what your calls actually return.
megamaster puts your own hand histories next to solver solutions and a 172-million-hand population sample. You can see where your calls, folds and bluffs cost money, and drill those spots until you play them right. It runs on your own machine. It is in private testing now.
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